Research & Analysis
Deep dives into Bitcoin models, halving cycles, and long-term forecasting.
How to Read BTC Price Against Model Bands (Without Confusing the Chart)
The interactive chart stacks three ideas at once: historical price, a probabilistic corridor, and “today.” Here is a compact guide to interpreting what you see—and what the chart does not promise.
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Bitcoin Halving 2028: What Do the Models Predict?
Bitcoin's 5th halving is expected around May 2028. We examine what the Power Law, S2F, and Exponential models say about price behavior before, during, and after this critical event.
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Stock-to-Flow vs Power Law: Which Model Is More Reliable?
PlanB's Stock-to-Flow model and Santostasi's Power Law both attempt to explain Bitcoin's price trajectory — but they use fundamentally different mechanisms. We compare them head-to-head.
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Bitcoin Power Law Explained: Why BTC Follows a Mathematical Corridor
The Bitcoin Power Law is one of the most robust long-term price models ever developed. Discover the physics behind it, how it was derived, and what it means for the next decade.
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Bitcoin Long-Term Price Models: Power Law, S2F, Early Fit, Exponential Compared
A detailed comparison of the four main Bitcoin long-term price models: Power Law (Santostasi), Stock-to-Flow (PlanB), Early Fit, and Exponential. Their strengths, weaknesses and R² accuracy.
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Halving Effect on Bitcoin Price: Historical Analysis and 2028 Projections
A data-driven analysis of how each Bitcoin halving affected price. Comparing the 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 halvings, with Power Law projections for the 2028 halving.
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Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve: Why Log Scale Matters
Why Bitcoin's price is best understood on a logarithmic scale, how log-linear regression works, and what the log growth curve tells us about long-term price behavior.
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Bitcoin Sigma Bands Explained: Reading the Power Law Chart
How to read sigma deviation bands on the Bitcoin Power Law chart. What ±1σ and ±2σ mean for price valuation, historical accuracy, and when to pay attention.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction 2030: What Mathematical Models Say
Using Power Law regression, Stock-to-Flow, and historical halving data to forecast Bitcoin price ranges for 2030. Analysis of Low, Median and High scenarios.
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